Thursday, January 03, 2008

Obama: The Year of the Boomerang

Still, I stay close to the heat
And even when I was close to defeat,
I rose to my feet
My life is like a soundtrack I wrote to the beat
--Dre

It's coming back around again: This is the year of Obama.... and he absolutely crushed Clinton:
DES MOINES, Iowa - Sen. Barack Obama, campaigning to be the first black president in American history, won the Iowa caucuses Thursday night, turning back rivals Hillary Clinton and John Edwards in the opening test of the race for the Democratic presidential nomination.

Just an observation...MSNBC was had a story early in the race about how Obama was winning, while their own results were still showing Edwards and Clinton ahead. That was fishy, since all the other sites like CNN were showing Obama being ahead.

Not impressive.

Another thing has been the Iowa polling, and the "American Research Group" in particular. Check out Real Clear Politics here... Notice anything? While other polls were coming out with polls showing Obama being ahead by 1 to 4 points in the lead up to the caucus, American Research Group was polling a 9 point win by Clinton. Real Clear Politics takes an average of these polls to come up with a poll of polls, and this radical statistical outlier has destroyed accurate tracking. Here's how their polling stacked up as of yesterday:
American Res. Group 12/31 - 01/02 600 LV 25 34 21 8 6 Clinton +9.0
Here are the actual results as of now:
Obama 38% Edwards 30% Clinton 29%


Which means....Clinton loses by 9 points!
Well, I guess they were only off by 18% in total. I wonder if Clinton was/is a client of these jokers.

Anyways, here are some Obama trends....

- Obama polled 35% for both male and female...

- Under 30 yr olds he polled at 57%...

- Black voters he polled at 72% (they were only 4% of the vote however...). This was only a surprise in that the media had been printing numerous stories about how "Black America" was not going to back Obama because he "wasn't black enough" and because of Bill/Hilary Clinton being irresistible to the black community. I don't think you will see too many stories of that nature from now on. South Carolina Primary, take note.

- The one quality that mattered most in deciding who to support? Change was cited by 51% of Obama voters. Interesting that 44% of Edwards voters said that he cared about "People like me"....hmmm....I'll keep a comment or 5 under my belt here...

- Obama garnered 32% of the Democrat, 44% of the republican and 41% of the independent votes...astonishing.

More here

Anyways, here's a political message from the one and only Ice Cube:

2 comments:

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tempo dulu said...
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