Lexington has a lil sumpin in mind for Bush's second term:
Several groups of people can be expected to get it in the neck. The first are the incompetent realists, which is shorthand for Donald Rumsfeld; had smug old Rummy not made so many mistakes on Iraq, Mr Bush would still be a shoo-in. The neo-conservatives will also be in the firing line for their dreamy depictions of Middle Eastern democracy, though they will surely reappear in another incarnation.
I think that goes without saying. Massive miscalculations, a tendency to have wishful thinking take priority over critical analysis and just poor judgment have all doomed the neocons to the shadows. Ever since the 1st month of the occupation you could see this coming. Right ideas (democratic revolution), poor execution.
The best chance of a real scrap would await the Republican primaries in 2008. The most exciting candidates are all on the party's libertarian or maverick wings: John McCain, Chuck Hagel, Rudy Giuliani and, just possibly, Mr Schwarzenegger. The leading conservatives all carry heavy burdens: Jeb Bush has his family name (three Bushes is a lot even in such a dynastic country); Bill Frist will have to explain the prescription-drugs boondoggle and his role in big-government conservatism. But the chances are that both sides will be more interested in eating rubber chicken than in philosophical debate. Even a professional maverick like Mr McCain may be less interested in playing the anti-establishment card than he was four years ago, when the entire establishment was rooting for Mr Bush.
McCain in 2008 has a nice ring. I still can't believe how badly Bush smeared McCain (and really smeared, not Bully WK smear) in South Carolina in 2000, and he is still supporting Bush.
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