June 28th is the Day

okay, so it looks like the 28th is the day. martin is dropping the writ the day after victoria day, and the election will be days after elementary school is out. which means one big thing:

families, and most importantly, parents will be on vacation with their kids for this entire period. why would martin do this? well, parents are far more conservative than singles and usually will vote to the right of the ndp/liberals....you don't need to be a sociology prof or a pollster to tell you the habits of young single people who vote. they are liberal to the hilt.

parents, looking for a safe environment for their kids in the suburbs or smaller towns vote conservative all the way. notice, the only hubs of liberal mps' in the west are in the intercity, and are usually constituencies of new immigrants, inner city, mostly single females. these voters go uber liberal.

anyways, this is a pretty cynical little manouever by martin...but it will probably work for him. somewhat. let's hope the parents can put off vactation until after the election.

June 28 federal election a go: sources

ALEXANDER PANETTA
Canadian Press


May 6, 2004

Canadians will head into a federal election campaign two weeks from now when Prime Minister Paul Martin pulls the trigger on a June 28 vote, several Liberal insiders said Wednesday. Canadian Press/Jonathan Hayward

OTTAWA -- Canadians will head into a federal election campaign two weeks from now when Prime Minister Paul Martin pulls the trigger on a June 28 vote, several Liberal insiders said Wednesday.

"It's a go," said one Liberal insider. "It's palpable. It's there and you can feel it." The major parties have already agreed to a TV debate format with four separate topics selected by a consortium of networks that moderated debate negotiations at Ottawa's Chateau Laurier hotel on Wednesday, The Canadian Press has learned.

The prime minister is expected to drop the writ days before May 23 - the last possible date for a June 28 election - to avoid starting his campaign in the shadow of the Victoria Day weekend, when many newspapers don't publish and many Canadians are enjoying what is traditionally seen as the kickoff to summer.
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what did i tell ya?